Georgia due for drought in 2011?
Friday, August 13, 2010 at 3:17PM Last year we told you about the United States Global Change Research Program's latest findings for the Southeast:
Increasing temperatures and longer periods between rainfall events [code for droughts] coupled with increased demand for water will result in decreased water availability. The 2007 water shortage in the Atlanta area created serious conflicts between Georgia, Alabama, Florida, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, and the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. Such competition for limited water supplies is expected to continue.
That report seemed almost laughable to some, coming during the monsoon conditions of 2009. Now this federally-mandated research is starting to look pretty reliable. State climatologist David Stooksbury's latest report says drought conditions have returned to north central, west central and southwest Georgia. The rest of the state is classified as abnormally dry. “Temperatures across the state have been above normal this summer, increasing water loss from the soils by evaporation and plant water use,” he said. With temperatures remaining in the 90s and low 100s with little or no rain, Stooksbury said soils statewide will continue to dry. This will lead to increased plant stress, and soil moisture and stream flows will continue to decline.
Exacerbating the conditions for drought next year is the predicted return of the La Niña pattern this winter. This ocean-atmosphere system is associated with dry, warm winters across much of the Southeast, Stooksbury said.
Meanwhile, a federal ruling drastically reducing Georgia's rights to water from Lake Lanier looms less than two years away. Still, the presiding Judge had to issue reprimands to all the stakeholders mentioned above for being too placid on negotiating a solution.
Sounds like conditions are right for a perfect storm. A perfect dust storm, that is...












